Modelling the effectiveness of counter-terrorism interventions

The Osint Journal Review

Link to Resource:
16 June 2014

This paper finds that for Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, reactive types of  counter-terrorism interventions, such as arrests, indictments, imprisonments, assassinations and other operational activities show the strongest association with the rate of terrorism incidents over time.

Abstract

This paper models the connection between the rate of terrorist events and the occurrence of counter-terrorism interventions in order to examine the relative effectiveness of the interventions. Using data from the Global Terrorism Database and information on interventions collected by the authors, model results show that for Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, reactive types of interventions, such as arrests, indictments, imprisonments, assassinations and other operational activities show the strongest association with the…

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